Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres: June 17, 2021

The Cincinnati Reds will look to keep up their winning ways tonight as they begin a 4-game series against the San Diego Padres at 8:40pm ET.

Starting Lineups

Starting Pitchers

Wade Miley

Through 11 starts it’s been the Wade Miley show for Cincinnati. He’s had one poor start, in Colorado, but otherwise has been fantastic. His ERA on the year sits at 2.92 through 61.2 innings while allowing just three home runs, 17 walks, and he’s struck out 51 batters.

Teams don’t run many lefties about against Miley – they’ve only had 39 plate appearances against him this season. They are hitting just .189/.231/.189 against him in those opportunities. Righties have been far more successful, but they aren’t exactly finding much success with a .226/.280/.342 line on the season against the left-handed starter.

Pitch usage from 2021

4-Seam 2-Seam Cutter
Curve Change
Velo 89.9 88.2 85.4 75.1 81.5
Usage 16.6% 1.3% 49.3% 4.4% 28.5%

Joe Musgrove

One of the better pitchers in the National League this season, Joe Musgrove has a 2.50 ERA through 13 games. In his 72.0 innings he’s allowed just 46 hits, walked 14 batters, and he’s struck out 96 of them.

Musgrove throws everything, including the kitchen sink. His six pitches are mixed and matched well and he doesn’t lean on any of them enough to give a hitter an idea that they could sit on any of them. Lefties have had more success against him this season – almost exclusively because they’ve had some power output against him – as they’ve posted a .186/.253/.386 line with seven home runs. Righties are hitting just .165/.224/.252 against him this season with just two home runs.

Pitch usage from 2021

4-Seam 2-Seam Cutter
Change Slider Curve
Velo 93.4 92.9 90.3 86.9 84.0 82.0
Usage 17.2% 6.3% 19.0% 8.0% 30.6% 18.8%

When and Where

  • Game time: 8:40pm ET
  • Where: Petco Park, San Diego
  • Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
  • Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
  • Forecast: ­71°, Sunny, and perfect. Come on, it’s San Diego.

News and Notes

Mike Moustakas is back in a walking boot

NL Central Standings

Playoff odds via Fangraphs

Team W L GB Playoff %
Brewers 38 30 0 60.7%
Cubs 38 30 0 35.1%
Reds 35 31 2.0 24.0%
Cardinals 35 33 3.0 13.7%
Pirates 23 44 14.5 0.0%

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