Lightning vs. Avalanche odds, prediction: 2022 Stanley Cup Final picks, Game 3 bets from expert on 136-71 run

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The Tampa Bay Lightning look to avoid being pushed to the brink of elimination when they host the Colorado Avalanche for Game 3 of the 2022 Stanley Cup Final on Monday. The two-time defending champions were unable to carry over the momentum from the Eastern Conference final, where they posted four consecutive victories against the New York Rangers after losing the first two games of the series. Tampa Bay rallied from a 3-1 deficit at Colorado in Game 1 before falling in overtime and was outplayed from start to finish in Game 2 en route to a 7-0 defeat.

Opening faceoff at Amalie Arena in Tampa is set for 8 p.m. ET. Tampa Bay and Colorado both are listed at -110 (risk $110 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Lightning vs. Avalanche odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total goals scored is six. Before making any Avalanche vs. Lightning picks or 2022 Stanley Cup Final predictions, you need to see what SportsLine expert Matt Severance has to say.

Severance is a well-connected writer and handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. He is SportsLine’s top NHL handicapper, going 136-71-4 in his last 211 NHL picks and returning well over $2,900 for $100 players. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, he has set his sights on Avs vs. Lightning. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the NHL odds and betting trends for Lightning vs. Avs: 

Lightning vs. Avalanche money line: Colorado -110, Tampa Bay -110Lightning vs. Avalanche over-under: 6 goalsLightning vs. Avalanche puck line: Tampa Bay -1.5 (+220)Lightning vs. Avalanche tickets: See tickets at StubHubCOL: The Avalanche are 7-0 on the road this postseasonTB: The Lightning have allowed a total of five goals in their last five home games

Featured Game | Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche

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Why the Lightning can win 

Home-ice advantage has been huge for Tampa Bay this postseason as it has won seven straight at Amalie Arena after losing to Toronto 5-2 in Game 3 of their first-round series. The Lightning have been stingy in their own building since that setback, allowing a total of 11 goals during their winning streak and only five over the last five contests. Nikita Kucherov, who led the league in scoring each of the previous two postseasons, is tied for third this time around with 24 points in 19 games.

Prior to Saturday’s shutout loss, the 29-year-old Russian right wing recorded a six-game point streak during which he registered three goals and six assists. Kucherov has been the NHL’s top playoff producer since 2014 as he leads the league in tallies (51), assists (100) and points over the stretch. He is first in team history with 17 career points in the Stanley Cup Final and needs one goal to tie Ondrej Palat (six) for most goals by a member of the Lightning.

Why the Avalanche can win 

Colorado has been virtually unstoppable this postseason as it has produced a league-leading 76 goals over 16 games. The Avalanche have netted five or more goals in half of those contests and recorded at least seven on four occasions. They’ve scored 11 goals in the first two games of the 2022 Stanley Cup Final without much help from Nathan MacKinnon, who has notched just one assist in each contest.

The 26-year-old center is tied for second in the league with 11 playoff goals and has notched at least one point in 14 of his 16 contests. Cale Makar scored twice on Saturday, joining Boston’s Glen Wesley (1988) as the only defensemen in history to have both a power-play and short-handed goal in the same Stanley Cup Final game.

How to make Lightning vs. Avalanche picks

Severance has analyzed Game 3 of Avalanche vs. Lightning from every angle and is leaning over on the total. He’s also found a critical x-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the money line. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Lightning vs. Avalanche in Game 3 of the 2022 Stanley Cup Final? And which critical x-factor makes one side hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Avalanche vs. Lightning money line to jump on, all from the expert who has crushed his NHL picks, and find out.

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