UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac odds, predictions, lines: Top MMA expert reveals surprising fight card picks

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Ranked heavyweight contenders take the spotlight Saturday at UFC Fight: Lewis vs. Spivac when former title challenger Derrick Lewis takes on rising prospect Serghei Spivac in the main event. The main UFC fight card is set for 4 p.m. ET from the promotion’s Apex facility in Las Vegas. The No. 7-ranked Lewis is a two-time title challenger who has never won the belt but still holds numerous heavyweight records, including most knockouts in the division’s history with 13. But he is hoping to avoid a three-fight losing streak for the first time in his career by defeating the No. 12-ranked Spivac, who is making his headlining debut. Spivac has won five of his past six but is taking a major step forward in competition for his first main event.

Spivac is a -190 favorite (risk $190 to win $100), while Lewis is offered at +170 in the latest UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac odds from Caesars Sportsbook. In the co-main event, explosive light heavyweight prospects square off as Kennedy Nzechukwu (-175) meets Ion Cutelaba (+155). Before locking in any UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac picks, make sure you check out the MMA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine combat analyst Kyle Marley

Marley won the first-ever “ToutMaster” UFC betting contest sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and appears regularly on multiple MMA betting and daily Fantasy shows. He watches every single fight for every professional MMA card and does extensive research before each event.

Over the past three-plus years, $100 bettors who have followed Marley’s picks are up more than $13,000. The accomplished MMA analyst kicked off the 2022 UFC season in January by advising SportsLine members to back Calvin Kattar (+200) against Giga Chikadze (-240) in the featherweight main event. Kattar’s lopsided unanimous-decision victory gave Marley’s followers another easy winner. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, with UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac in sight, Marley has studied the card from top to bottom and revealed his top selections. Marley’s UFC Fight Night picks are only available at SportsLine.

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac preview 

For the better part of the past decade, Lewis (26-10-1) has been one of the most popular fighters on the UFC roster. His devastating one-punch power makes his fights must-see affairs, and his irreverent humor in interviews keeps observers watching him long after his fights have ended.

But lost in the reverence for his sense of humor and gregarious nature is the notion that Lewis is likely the most successful heavyweight in UFC history to never wear the belt. He lost in a title fight against former champion Daniel Cormier in November 2018 and came up short against Ciryl Gane for the interim title in August of last year.

Even so, his resume includes a knockout win over No. 3-ranked Curtis Blaydes and a decision victory over current champion Francis Ngannou. The 37-year-old has lost his last two outings by knockouts to rising prospects, and a third would likely relegate him to gatekeeper status.

Spivac (15-3) is among a crop of young heavyweights who are starting to take over the upper tier of the division. The 27-year-old Moldovan fighter joined the UFC with a 9-0 record but lost his debut to journeyman Walt Harris.

He has won six of his eight appearances since, but lost against the best opponent he faced in that span. Sixth-ranked Tom Aspinall stopped Spivac in September of last year. Spivac rebounded with wins over Greg Hardy and Augusto Sakai this year and will likely crack the top-10 rankings with a third straight win Saturday. You can only see who to pick at UFC Fight Night here.

Top UFC Fight Night picks

We’ll share one of Marley’s UFC Fight Night predictions here: He is backing Miles Johns (-165) to get past Vince Morales (+145) in a bantamweight matchup on the preliminary card.

Johns (12-2) is a considered a versatile prospect who has scored knockouts and earned performance bonuses in each of his past two wins. But the 28-year-old Kansas native is looking to bounce back from a submission loss to John Castaneda in February.

Morales (11-6) is a four-year UFC veteran who is known for his power punching and pace. The 32-year-old Idaho native has won two of his past three but dropped a decision to fellow prospect Jonathan Martinez in May.

“I give Johns the power and wrestling edge. Morales has no answer for leg kicks, so I expect Johns to target that weakness and slow Morales down as the fight moves along,” Marley told SportsLine. See who else to back right here.

How to make UFC Fight Night picks 

Marley also has strong picks for Lewis vs. Spivac and every other bout on the UFC Fight Night card. He’s also backing a fighter who “is the more powerful striker” to emerge with a huge victory. Those UFC picks are only available at SportsLine

Who wins UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac? And how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on every fight at UFC Fight Night, all from the incomparable expert who’s up more than $13,000 on MMA in the past three years, and find out.

UFC Fight Night odds, fight card

See full UFC Fight Night picks, predictions, and best bets here

Serghei Spivac (-190) vs. Derrick Lewis (+170)
Kennedy Nzechukwu (-175) vs. Ion Cutelaba (+155)
Waldo Acosta (-215) vs. Chase Sherman (+185)
Muslim Salikhov (-115) vs. Andre Fialho (-105)
Jack Della Maddalena (-550) vs. Danny Roberts (+425)
Charles Johnson (-160) vs. Zhalgas Zhumagulov (+140)
Maryna Moroz (-180) vs. Jennifer Maia (+160)
Miles Johns (-165) vs. Vince Morales (+145)
Ricky Turcios (-160) vs. Kevin Natividad (+140)
Maria Oliveira (-125) vs. Vanessa Demopoulos (+105)
Brady Hiestand (-160) vs. Fernie Garcia (+140)
Natalia Silva (-170) vs. Tereza Bleda (+150) 

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